“Using the Future: Contributions to the Field of Foresight”
is a report produced by CIFS (Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies). It
aims to collect and present forward-looking contributions to the field of
foresight, highlighting themes such as:
Anticipatory leadership and how leadership styles must
evolve to align with emerging future conditions
Participatory foresight as a vehicle for building societal
resilience
Corporate foresight, embedding foresight practices into
business
Governance and political foresight, integrating foresight
into public decision-making
New conversations about AI-mediated foresight and the role
of time in organizational life
In essence, it presents a curated set of essays or
contributions driven by CIFS’s perspective, aiming to push boundaries of how
foresight is practiced and conceptualized.
Strengths
1. Holistic scope and breadth
The report brings together diverse themes across leadership,
governance, business, and technology, showing how foresight is relevant across
multiple domains. Its ambition to address AI, resilience, and institutional
integration is valuable in making foresight more practice-relevant.
2. Bridging theory and practice
It does not dwell solely on abstract theorizing; it
explicitly links foresight contributions to real-world arenas: decision-making,
policy, organizational strategy, etc. This helps make it useful to
practitioners, not just academics.
3. Forward-looking orientation
By including discussions on AI and temporal dynamics (how
time itself shapes organizations), it pushes the field to evolve, rather than
rest on established methods. This is particularly timely in an era of rapid
technological and social change.
4. Institutional legitimacy and historical grounding
Because it comes from CIFS (a well-known futures institute,
founded in 1969), the report carries credibility. Also, the foreword or framing
emphasizes how the field has evolved (methodologically, institutionally).
5. Encouraging pluralism and reflexivity
Implicitly, the report acknowledges that foresight is not a
monolithic field — it is plural, contested, evolving — and tries to open space
for further contributions, not impose a single canonical path.
Weaknesses / Limitations
1. Lack of rigorous empirical grounding
Many of the contributions are likely essayistic or
conceptual, rather than empirical. The report does not seem designed as a
peer-reviewed research volume, so the evidential basis of its claims may vary
in robustness.
2. Possible institutional bias / perspective lock-in
As a CIFS publication, the themes and framing might reflect
CIFS’s priorities, which may under-represent other schools of foresight (e.g.
critical futures, speculative design, southern perspectives, etc.).
3. Depth vs. breadth trade-off
Because it covers many themes, each contribution may not be
deeply developed. Some arguments may remain suggestive rather than fully worked
out.
4. Ambiguity in conceptual definitions
As is common in foresight literature, some key terms (e.g.
“anticipatory leadership,” “resilience,” “future mediation”) risk being used
loosely. Without strong definitional clarity or theoretical anchoring, readers
from different backgrounds may interpret them inconsistently.
5. Evaluation & accountability lacking
The report likely does not offer systematic assessments of
how well the proposed contributions work in practice, or how to measure their
impact. For foresight to “earn its keep,” the links between foresight
interventions and actual decision outcomes need more rigor.
6. Scalability, resourcing, inclusion risks
Some of the proposed foresight practices (AI integration, institutional embedding, participatory futures) require significant resources, capacity, or institutional will. There is risk these contributions remain aspirational, accessible mostly to well-resourced actors or institutions.
Assessment & Implications
Contribution to advancing the field
This report is a useful landmark: it reflects the maturation
of foresight as more than just scenarios and forecasting, but as a rich
multi-domain practice. By mapping frontier themes (AI-foresight, leadership,
governance), it helps set an agenda for future research and practice.
Catalyst rather than endpoint
Its real value lies in stimulating further debate, empirical
testing, and critique. The report should be seen as a provocation: “Here are
possible directions” — not a definitive blueprint.
Need for stronger integration with empirical research
To move beyond conceptual inspirations, subsequent work
should test, validate, refine the contributions in real-world settings,
measuring outcomes, detecting trade-offs, and refining frameworks.
Inclusivity and plural futures
The report could do more to surface voices from diverse
geographies, marginalized groups, and alternative epistemologies (beyond
dominant Western foresight traditions). The future is not uniform; foresight
must be attentive to differential power, privilege, and voice.
Operationalization & tool development
For leadership foresight, governance embedding, AI-augmented
foresight to gain traction, they need to be translated into actionable tools,
methods, capacity-building programs, metrics — so that users (organizations,
governments, communities) can adopt them.
Balancing ambition with humility
The future is uncertain; foresight cannot guarantee predictive accuracy. The report would benefit from acknowledging where foresight may mislead, overpromise, or create path dependencies. Reflexivity about the limits of using “the future” is essential.
Conclusion
“Using the Future: Contributions to the Field of Foresight” is a timely and thought-provoking piece that maps ambitious frontiers for foresight practice and thinking. It is strong in vision and integrative scope but less strong in empirical grounding, measurement, and inclusion of alternative voices. Its main value lies in pointing toward future work — scholars and practitioners can use it as a reference, challenge, and source of inspiration. However, the real test will be whether its proposals can be operationalized, validated in practice, and diversified in perspective.
If you like, I can provide a more detailed critique of
particular contributions (e.g. the chapter on AI, or on governance) or compare
this report with other foresight frameworks in the literature. Do you want me
to dig deeper into one of those?
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